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Prediction for CME (2021-12-20T05:48:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2021-12-20T05:48Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/18584/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible in the east of SOHO LASCO C2 and C3. STEREO A COR2 data is not available. It is associated with a C4.4 flare from AR 12909 (S19E11) which peaked at 2021-12-20T03:21Z. This was followed by an eruption with dimming, an EUV wave, and post eruptive arcades in SDO AIA 193 and 171 beginning at 2021-12-20T03:15Z. The material is also seen leaving the disk in SDO AIA 304. The source signature is seen as opening field lines in SDO AIA 171. | Update: "There is no clear CME signature on Dec 24-25. During the short-duration mag field rotations, the field is not much increased or quiet." - Lan Jian
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-12-23T14:34Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.33333
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: 36.63 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2021-12-22T01:56Z

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